Thursday, November 8, 2018

Tuesday, November 6, 2018

Earthquake Drill, North Vancouver, BC - Civic Centre Plaza on October 15...

https://youtu.be/fPoX1iy-nfw  [8:23 minutes]


On October 18 at 10:18 a.m., millions of people worldwide will practice how to “Drop, Cover and Hold On” during Great ShakeOut Earthquake Drills. British Columbians can join by for the 2018 Great British Columbia ShakeOut.

Well, they DIDN'T, and that is NOT GOOD ENOUGH.

In British Columbia 919,155 participated out of a population of 4,817,160 (2017) = 19% of the population. None have brought any qualitative analysis to that low participation. For instance, 3 years ago I attended at the North Vancouver City Square to observe four female City employees standing around talking outside City Hall, paying absolutely no attention to the Shakeout Drill. The cynical part of me thought 'they just don't want to duck under their desks and get their skirts dirty'. Everybody all around the square JUST went about their own business as if NOTHING was happening. In the North Vancouver City Library, the staff told me that they did participate, but in later years they just continued working at their desks as if NOTHING was happening.  Later, while I continued making more DOCUMENTARY VIDEOS, CNVL staff were actually instructed to stay at their desks.

WE ALL KNOW THE BIG ONE IS COMING, DON'T WE ?  ANY TIME, ANY MINUTE.  I could not believe that level of immaturity.  In a BIG ONE, those books in 'stacks' will become bullets

The next year I attended the West Vancouver Memorial Library. DITTO. NO DUCK, COVER AND HOLD. And, those people are all surrounded by glass.

No one is taking this seriously and a lot of our grandchildren will die.

Nancy Yamamoto, the elected MLA for North Vancouver represented the NV City in the provincial government in Victoria,  was appointed Minister of Emergency Planning and Preparedness in the BC Provincial government. She came up with the idea of preparing for a Zombie Apocalypse, totally demoralized her entire Ministry in process, with wicked staff turnover.

In the next election, I LIVED IN HER RIDING and was fortunate enough to help fire that child. I put my 'X' beside the name of another candidate.

My assessment, we suffer a total lack of Xcommitment, Xleadership Xmaturity, Xseriousness and Xsomberness. In the US FEMA has designated Cascadia 'Zone X' (10) and have been stockpiling body bags.

Reconstruction of a Cascadia Subduction Zone Megaquake

https://youtu.be/SYfZ37k4HJE  [14:32 minutes]

PDXEarthquakeProject

Published on May 2, 2012
Learn more about the Portland Earthquake Project at http://www.facebook.com/PortlandEarth... and see more relevant quake videos at http://www.youtube.com/PDXEarthquakeP....
This is a clip from the BBC documentary "The Next Megaquake" (http://www.bbc.co.uk/sn/tvradio/progr...).
Watch the entire 45-minute BBC documentary here: http://goo.gl/y3ULB



In Canada...



PNSN  To monitor earthquake and volcanic activity across the Pacific Northwest, the University of Washington and the University of Oregon cooperatively operate the Pacific Northwest Seismic Network (PNSN). The PNSN is sponsored by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the U.S. Department of Energy, the State of Washington, and the State of Oregon. Beginning in 1969 with five seismometers, the PNSN has grown to more than 300 seismograph stations distributed across the region and become the second largest seismic network in the United States. The PNSN is an organization dedicated to reducing impacts of earthquakes and volcanic eruptions in the states of Washington and Oregon by providing accurate and fast information about earthquakes and ground motions to scientists, engineers, planners, and the public.
Our headquarters is at the Department of Earth and Space Sciences at the University of Washington. However, we have offices and personnel in several locations in the region, seismic stations spread far and wide over the two states, and deep collaborations with other institutions inside and outside of Cascadia that make it a bit of a challenge to define sharply our organizational boundaries. 

Thursday, November 1, 2018

Links for Cascadia; let's try to link some of this together©

Looming above Simon Fraser University
Mount Baker Stratovolcano
is the 2nd most active in the
Cascadia Volcanic Arc, after
Mount St. Helen
Seven (7) BIG M8 + Cascadia Megaquakes occured in the last 3,500.
Lead Author: Stan G. Webb - In Retirement©
  1. New Cascadia Dawn© - Cascadia Rising - M9+ to M10+, An Intelligent Man's Guide©  https://cascadiamegaquake.blogspot.com/
  2. Mount Baker Stratovolcano© https://mountbakerstratovolcano.blogspot.com/
  3. Cascadia Resilience and Robust Survival, An Intelligent Man's Guide© https://cascadiaresilienceandsurvival.blogspot.com/

Tuesday, October 30, 2018

THIS FORECAST IS IN ERROR - Tsunami Forecast Model Animation: Cascadia 1700 AD

Problem is, they've got the engineering, mathematics, and physics wrong; albeit it certainly is more than > 3 [three] metres (10 feet).  WAY MORE.  And this has happened repeatedly; 41 times in the past 10,000 years.

SEE ALSO >> If you want to survive,HOW ARE WE GOING TO PAY FOR IT ALL ? - Senate Ways & Means Cascadia Subduction Zone Presentation Work Session, ...


>> NO AUDIO >> BEST VIEW FULL SCREEN
https://youtu.be/4W2iUl0VB8c [1:20 minutes]  

Japanese records state that the Orphan Tsunami of 1700 AD was four stories, over 12 metres (40 feet) high; when we calculate the 8,000 kilometre distance between Cascadia's Fault and the shores of the Huu-ay-aht – Ancient Spirit, Modern Mind  village of Anacla, do some 'reverse' engineering for the whole Pacific Ocean basin to account for the tsunami dispersal away from the Cascadia Fault, apply some mathematics and physics using Western scientific methods, at Anacla the tsunami would have been twelve
stories, over 37 metres (120 feet).  Now, I hope the Huu-ay-aht First Nations renames their beach back to Anacla or whatever they chose, instead of the old Spanish European, 'plant the flag and conquer' mentality, and change the name*.  [Images for Pachena Beach, bc].Pachena Bay Campground | Bamfield, BC | Huu-ay-aht First Nation ,
Following ten years of interviews, reading, and research, every single First Nation all along the West Coast of North America has stories of the destruction of their villages by earthquakeflood [a tsunami would be better described as a flood, rising from below; rather than a wave, generated across the top, from wind] and landslides.  Everybody, everywhere has the same story.

* [Pechina is a municipality of Province of Almería, in the autonomous community of Andalusia, Spain. It is on the site of the ancient town of Urci.  Pechina, called Bajjāna in Arabic, was the centre of a Yemeni colony during the period of the Umayyad caliphate in Spain. ~ Wikipedia].
Published on Jan 22, 2016
"Just before midnight on January 27, 1700 a tsunami struck the coasts of Japan without warning since no one in Japan felt the earthquake that must have caused it. Nearly 300 years later scientists and historians in Japan and the United States solved the mystery of what caused this “orphan tsunami” through careful analysis of historical records in Japan as well as oral histories of Native Americans, sediment deposits, and ghost forests of drowned trees in the Pacific Northwest of North America, a region also known as Cascadia. They learned that this geologically active region, the Cascadia Subduction Zone, not only hosts erupting volcanoes but also produces megathrust earthquakes capable of generating devastating, ocean-crossing tsunamis. By comparing the tree rings of dead trees with those still living they could tell when the last of these great earthquakes struck the region. The trees all died in the winter of 1699-1700 when the coasts of northern California, Oregon, and Washington suddenly dropped 1-2 m (3-6 ft.), flooding them with seawater. That much motion over such a large area requires a very large earthquake to explain it—perhaps as large as 9.2 magnitude, comparable to the Great Alaska Earthquake of 1964. Such an earthquake would have ruptured the earth along the entire length of the 1000 km (600 mi) long fault of the Cascadia Subduction Zone and severe shaking could have lasted for 5 minutes or longer. Its tsunami would cross the Pacific Ocean and reach Japan in about 9 hours, so the earthquake must have occurred around 9 o’clock at night in Cascadia on January 26, 1700 (05:00 January 27 UTC). The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) can created an animation of a historical tsunami like this one using the same tool that it uses to determine tsunami hazards in real time for any tsunami today: the Real-Time Forecasting of Tsunamis (RIFT) forecast model. The RIFT model takes earthquake information as input and calculates how the waves move through the world’s oceans, predicting their speed, wavelength, and amplitude. This animation shows these values through the simulated motion of the waves and as they travel through the world’s oceans one can also see the distance between successive wave crests (wavelength) as well as their height (half-amplitude) indicated by their color. More importantly, the model also shows what happens when these tsunami waves strike land, the very information that PTWC needs to issue tsunami hazard guidance for impacted coastlines. From the beginning the animation shows all coastlines covered by colored points. These are initially a blue color like the undisturbed ocean to indicate normal sea level, but as the tsunami waves reach them they will change color to represent the height of the waves coming ashore, and often these values are higher than they were in the deeper waters offshore. The color scheme is based on PTWC’s warning criteria, with blue-to-green representing no hazard (less than 30 cm or ~1 ft.), yellow-to-orange indicating low hazard with a stay-off-the-beach recommendation (30 to 100 cm or ~1 to 3 ft.), light red-to-bright red indicating significant hazard requiring evacuation (1 to 3 m or ~3 to 10 ft.), and dark red indicating a severe hazard possibly requiring a second-tier evacuation (greater than 3 m or ~10 ft.). Toward the end of this simulated 24 hours of activity the wave animation will transition to the “energy map” of a mathematical surface representing the maximum rise in sea level on the open ocean caused by the tsunami, a pattern that indicates that the kinetic energy of the tsunami was not distributed evenly across the oceans but instead forms a highly directional “beam” such that the tsunami was far more severe in the middle of the “beam” of energy than on its sides. This pattern also generally correlates to the coastal impacts; note how those coastlines directly in the “beam” are hit by larger waves than those to either side of it. The full report about the Orphan Tsunami of 1700 can be found here: https://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/...  For a NOAA Science on a Sphere version of this animation, please see:
http://sos.noaa.gov/Datasets/dataset....

If you want to survive, HOW ARE WE GOING TO PAY FOR IT ALL ? - Senate Ways & Means Cascadia Subduction Zone Presentation Work Session, ...

SUMMARY:  If you want to survive, recognize that at first you will be all alone and uninsured.  We will need to take care of the after-effects of all of this ourselves.
STILL IT GETS PUSHED TO THE END OF A VERY BUSY AGENDA. This requires that we expect more from our leadership and that we elect serious, sober and somber people into office; NOT bratty, cute, entitled STUPID children.  One member of this committee WALKED OUT, even before this presentation had been concluded.
Washington State Senate Ways & Means Cascadia Subduction Zone Presentation Work Session, Feb 12 2017
https://youtu.be/gjbBx6tMfR0  [56:55 minutes]

Peninsula Area Public Access
Presentations to the Washington State Senate Ways and Means Committee from a variety of Emergency Management Experts concerning the early warnings and preparedness of Cascadia Rising. Included here are presentations by Dr. John Vidale, Lt Colonel Clay Braun, Jim Buck (Clallam County) and Robert Ezelle. Thank you to TVW for permission to rebroadcast on PAPA TV.

Thursday, October 18, 2018

The LIVE Look and Feel of a M9.2 to M9.3 Megaquake and Megatsunami - The Great Alaskan Earthquake 1964 - Magnitude 9.2 - Tsunami Affects

Update lead in to 1964 Alaskan Earthquake

Grandparents: No one will come to your aid if this happens.  As a 

retired disaster coordinator, my first decision would be to go to the 

schools and try to save as many children as possible.


This is NOT a 'worst case' scenario; it has happened right here 

over forty-one (41) times in the last 10,000 years, on average, every 

249 years. Reference: 1964 Alaska earthquake – Wikipedia


>> Sound On >> Best viewed Full Screen >> Darkened Room

USGS YouTube 

Video https://youtu.be/lE2j10xyOgI (11:37 minutes)

You have a choice: You can continue spending all of your money, 

skills, talent and wisdom running around and having a good time 


can join us in helping everybody get ready.

That is going to take a lot of knowledge, money and time.

And, I need your help, firstly in researching, learning, 

photographing / video and writing, in a coordinated way, all we 

can about these gigantic earthquakes, and secondly, how we are 

going to save our families, and indeed, as many lives as possible, 

including your own.

Your comments and suggestions would be appreciated at:
  1. Cascadia Resilience and Robust Survival, An Intelligent Man's Guide© [https://cascadiaresilienceandsurvival.blogspot.com/ ]

  2. Cascadia Kids© [https://cascadiamegaquaketrainingforkids.blogsp[ot.com/ ]
Please watch this video clip all the way through. It will take 

about the same length of time that the shaking was 

experienced in the 1964 Alaskan earthquake. This M9.2 

megathrust earthquake lasting four minutes and thirty 

eight seconds. This magnitude 9.2 megathrust earthquake is also 

known as the Great Alaskan earthquake and Good Friday 

earthquake. MAGNITUDE SCALE AS A M9.3

Other references, see also:



This is all very serious … a great Icelandic artist, Björk 

 Guðmundsdóttir, has done a very visual representation 

(shown earlier in the blog/website): Icelandic Native, Bjӧrk- 

Mutual Core - OFFICIAL - Art +Music - MOCAtv

[https://cascadiamegaquake.blogspot.ca/2017/05/bjrk-mutual-

core-official-art-music.html]

Selected Bibliography REFERENCES, UPDATED TO 


September 14, 2017, at the North Shore of Vancouver, BC's 

main libraries:


USGS - 30 Days, Magnitude 4.5+ U.S.

[https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/]